Tennessee's 5th congressional district leans strongly Republican following post-2020 redistricting that removed much of Nashville and boosted the GOP margin to roughly R+10, with Donald Trump carrying the seat by 23 points in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faced a competitive August 6 Republican primary against state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, who prevailed and now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in November. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 83% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, low historical crossover voting, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$40,531 KL.
$40,531 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$40,531 KL.
$40,531 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,683 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$21,849 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district leans strongly Republican following post-2020 redistricting that removed much of Nashville and boosted the GOP margin to roughly R+10, with Donald Trump carrying the seat by 23 points in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faced a competitive August 6 Republican primary against state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, who prevailed and now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in November. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 83% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, low historical crossover voting, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,531Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district leans strongly Republican following post-2020 redistricting that removed much of Nashville and boosted the GOP margin to roughly R+10, with Donald Trump carrying the seat by 23 points in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faced a competitive August 6 Republican primary against state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, who prevailed and now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in November. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 83% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, low historical crossover voting, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$40,531Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 5th congressional district leans strongly Republican following post-2020 redistricting that removed much of Nashville and boosted the GOP margin to roughly R+10, with Donald Trump carrying the seat by 23 points in 2024. Incumbent Andy Ogles faced a competitive August 6 Republican primary against state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher, who prevailed and now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in November. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 83% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, low historical crossover voting, and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the balance before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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