The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$48,044 KL.
$48,044 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$48,044 KL.
$48,044 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$23,677 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$24,367 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,044Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$48,044Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 5th congressional district due to its R+10 partisan voting index, established Republican advantages in rural and suburban counties across Maury, Williamson, and Wilson, and consistent midterm performance by the party in similar districts. The August 6 Republican primary produced a clear winner in former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher after incumbent Andy Ogles fell short amid prior controversies, consolidating GOP support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Chaz Molder faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national swing, significantly depressed Republican turnout, or a major late development involving the nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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