NY-21 remains an open Republican stronghold following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek a sixth term. The district’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 82.5%. Both parties hold primaries on June 23, with Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen competing on the Republican side and Blake Gendebien facing Stuart Amoriell for Democrats. Fundraising and early positioning show stronger Republican resources and organization. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers limit crossover potential, keeping Democratic odds near 18% ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$24,037 KL.
$24,037 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$24,037 KL.
$24,037 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,087 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$9,950 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains an open Republican stronghold following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek a sixth term. The district’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 82.5%. Both parties hold primaries on June 23, with Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen competing on the Republican side and Blake Gendebien facing Stuart Amoriell for Democrats. Fundraising and early positioning show stronger Republican resources and organization. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers limit crossover potential, keeping Democratic odds near 18% ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,037Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains an open Republican stronghold following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek a sixth term. The district’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 82.5%. Both parties hold primaries on June 23, with Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen competing on the Republican side and Blake Gendebien facing Stuart Amoriell for Democrats. Fundraising and early positioning show stronger Republican resources and organization. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers limit crossover potential, keeping Democratic odds near 18% ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,037Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains an open Republican stronghold following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek a sixth term. The district’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 82.5%. Both parties hold primaries on June 23, with Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen competing on the Republican side and Blake Gendebien facing Stuart Amoriell for Democrats. Fundraising and early positioning show stronger Republican resources and organization. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers limit crossover potential, keeping Democratic odds near 18% ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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