South Dakota's solidly Republican political environment, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent federal contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the at-large House race. With the June 2 primary approaching, state Attorney General Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead over James Bialota in GOP polling, while Democrat Nikki Gronli has emerged as her party's presumptive nominee following a limited primary field. This setup leaves little room for Democratic gains absent major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unexpected Republican primary upset that weakens the eventual nominee or unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking controversies that could briefly compress the margin before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 KL.
$16,931 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$16,931 KL.
$16,931 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$7,457 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's solidly Republican political environment, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent federal contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the at-large House race. With the June 2 primary approaching, state Attorney General Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead over James Bialota in GOP polling, while Democrat Nikki Gronli has emerged as her party's presumptive nominee following a limited primary field. This setup leaves little room for Democratic gains absent major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unexpected Republican primary upset that weakens the eventual nominee or unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking controversies that could briefly compress the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,931Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's solidly Republican political environment, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent federal contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the at-large House race. With the June 2 primary approaching, state Attorney General Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead over James Bialota in GOP polling, while Democrat Nikki Gronli has emerged as her party's presumptive nominee following a limited primary field. This setup leaves little room for Democratic gains absent major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unexpected Republican primary upset that weakens the eventual nominee or unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking controversies that could briefly compress the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,931Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's solidly Republican political environment, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent federal contests, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the at-large House race. With the June 2 primary approaching, state Attorney General Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead over James Bialota in GOP polling, while Democrat Nikki Gronli has emerged as her party's presumptive nominee following a limited primary field. This setup leaves little room for Democratic gains absent major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unexpected Republican primary upset that weakens the eventual nominee or unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawals or late-breaking controversies that could briefly compress the margin before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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