Wyoming’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. The state’s partisan composition, consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader expectations that the eventual GOP primary winner will prevail by a wide margin. A crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates is set for August 18, 2026, with polling showing several contenders in double digits and no Democratic candidate registering meaningful support. The commanding 94% Republican probability reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though each remains improbable given historical patterns and current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWY-AL House Election Winner
WY-AL House Election Winner
$42,399 KL.
$42,399 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
2%
$42,399 KL.
$42,399 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,591 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$23,808 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. The state’s partisan composition, consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader expectations that the eventual GOP primary winner will prevail by a wide margin. A crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates is set for August 18, 2026, with polling showing several contenders in double digits and no Democratic candidate registering meaningful support. The commanding 94% Republican probability reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though each remains improbable given historical patterns and current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,399Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. The state’s partisan composition, consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader expectations that the eventual GOP primary winner will prevail by a wide margin. A crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates is set for August 18, 2026, with polling showing several contenders in double digits and no Democratic candidate registering meaningful support. The commanding 94% Republican probability reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though each remains improbable given historical patterns and current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,399Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. The state’s partisan composition, consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and statewide contests, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader expectations that the eventual GOP primary winner will prevail by a wide margin. A crowded Republican primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates is set for August 18, 2026, with polling showing several contenders in double digits and no Democratic candidate registering meaningful support. The commanding 94% Republican probability reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would alter the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though each remains improbable given historical patterns and current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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