Ken Calvert holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 House seat, reflecting his decisive 34.9% to 20.6% primary win over fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim on June 2, 2026, and his control of a larger portion of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50. The top-two primary eliminated all Democratic candidates, leaving an all-Republican general election on November 3 that favors the GOP in a district where Trump outperformed 2024 benchmarks. Calvert benefits from endorsements including Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton and stronger Republican primary turnout, while Kim trails despite higher recent fundraising and a base in parts of Orange County. Negative advertising between the two has highlighted intraparty divides over Trump alignment and past records, but Calvert’s structural advantages and primary momentum keep his implied probability elevated ahead of the fall contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)
CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Calvert
73%
Young Kim
24%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Calvert
$1,126 KL.
73%
Young Kim
$887 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 House seat, reflecting his decisive 34.9% to 20.6% primary win over fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim on June 2, 2026, and his control of a larger portion of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50. The top-two primary eliminated all Democratic candidates, leaving an all-Republican general election on November 3 that favors the GOP in a district where Trump outperformed 2024 benchmarks. Calvert benefits from endorsements including Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton and stronger Republican primary turnout, while Kim trails despite higher recent fundraising and a base in parts of Orange County. Negative advertising between the two has highlighted intraparty divides over Trump alignment and past records, but Calvert’s structural advantages and primary momentum keep his implied probability elevated ahead of the fall contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,012Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ken Calvert holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 House seat, reflecting his decisive 34.9% to 20.6% primary win over fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim on June 2, 2026, and his control of a larger portion of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50. The top-two primary eliminated all Democratic candidates, leaving an all-Republican general election on November 3 that favors the GOP in a district where Trump outperformed 2024 benchmarks. Calvert benefits from endorsements including Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton and stronger Republican primary turnout, while Kim trails despite higher recent fundraising and a base in parts of Orange County. Negative advertising between the two has highlighted intraparty divides over Trump alignment and past records, but Calvert’s structural advantages and primary momentum keep his implied probability elevated ahead of the fall contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,012Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Ken Calvert holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the CA-40 House seat, reflecting his decisive 34.9% to 20.6% primary win over fellow Republican incumbent Young Kim on June 2, 2026, and his control of a larger portion of the newly redrawn district under Proposition 50. The top-two primary eliminated all Democratic candidates, leaving an all-Republican general election on November 3 that favors the GOP in a district where Trump outperformed 2024 benchmarks. Calvert benefits from endorsements including Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton and stronger Republican primary turnout, while Kim trails despite higher recent fundraising and a base in parts of Orange County. Negative advertising between the two has highlighted intraparty divides over Trump alignment and past records, but Calvert’s structural advantages and primary momentum keep his implied probability elevated ahead of the fall contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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