Incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas anchors the market's 92.5% consensus for her party, building on a 69.8% general-election margin in 2024 and consistent support from the district's heavily Democratic voter registration. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that gives Republicans little path to competitiveness. The June 2 top-two primary features Rivas against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez, yet fundraising and establishment backing continue to favor the incumbent. Only an unusually divisive primary or a sharp national swing against Democrats before November 3 could realistically elevate the Republican nominee's odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-29 House Election Winner
CA-29 House Election Winner
$15,477 KL.
$15,477 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$15,477 KL.
$15,477 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,326 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$5,151 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas anchors the market's 92.5% consensus for her party, building on a 69.8% general-election margin in 2024 and consistent support from the district's heavily Democratic voter registration. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that gives Republicans little path to competitiveness. The June 2 top-two primary features Rivas against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez, yet fundraising and establishment backing continue to favor the incumbent. Only an unusually divisive primary or a sharp national swing against Democrats before November 3 could realistically elevate the Republican nominee's odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,477Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas anchors the market's 92.5% consensus for her party, building on a 69.8% general-election margin in 2024 and consistent support from the district's heavily Democratic voter registration. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that gives Republicans little path to competitiveness. The June 2 top-two primary features Rivas against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez, yet fundraising and establishment backing continue to favor the incumbent. Only an unusually divisive primary or a sharp national swing against Democrats before November 3 could realistically elevate the Republican nominee's odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,477Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas anchors the market's 92.5% consensus for her party, building on a 69.8% general-election margin in 2024 and consistent support from the district's heavily Democratic voter registration. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that gives Republicans little path to competitiveness. The June 2 top-two primary features Rivas against fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez, yet fundraising and establishment backing continue to favor the incumbent. Only an unusually divisive primary or a sharp national swing against Democrats before November 3 could realistically elevate the Republican nominee's odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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