Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Jamee Decio advanced from a contested primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting, and all major forecasters classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. This structural edge, combined with the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic fundraising visibility, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late-cycle turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in areas like South Bend, or unforeseen developments affecting Yakym's campaign before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIN-02 House Election Winner
IN-02 House Election Winner
$31,212 KL.
$31,212 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$31,212 KL.
$31,212 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,910 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$7,302 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Jamee Decio advanced from a contested primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting, and all major forecasters classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. This structural edge, combined with the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic fundraising visibility, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late-cycle turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in areas like South Bend, or unforeseen developments affecting Yakym's campaign before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,212Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Jamee Decio advanced from a contested primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting, and all major forecasters classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. This structural edge, combined with the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic fundraising visibility, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late-cycle turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in areas like South Bend, or unforeseen developments affecting Yakym's campaign before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,212Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Jamee Decio advanced from a contested primary. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting, and all major forecasters classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. This structural edge, combined with the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic fundraising visibility, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, late-cycle turnout surges among Democratic-leaning voters in areas like South Bend, or unforeseen developments affecting Yakym's campaign before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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