The solid Republican lean of Indiana’s Third Congressional District, anchored in the Fort Wayne area and rated safe for the party by major forecasters, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 5 primary win with nearly 69 percent of the vote against challenger Jon Kenworthy, combined with a Trump endorsement and the absence of any Democratic primary contest, has further consolidated this position ahead of the November general election. The district has not elected a Democrat in decades, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns. Only late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event or unforeseen scandal could realistically reopen the race before voters decide.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIN-03 House Election Winner
IN-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,909 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,172 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Republican lean of Indiana’s Third Congressional District, anchored in the Fort Wayne area and rated safe for the party by major forecasters, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 5 primary win with nearly 69 percent of the vote against challenger Jon Kenworthy, combined with a Trump endorsement and the absence of any Democratic primary contest, has further consolidated this position ahead of the November general election. The district has not elected a Democrat in decades, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns. Only late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event or unforeseen scandal could realistically reopen the race before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,081Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Republican lean of Indiana’s Third Congressional District, anchored in the Fort Wayne area and rated safe for the party by major forecasters, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 5 primary win with nearly 69 percent of the vote against challenger Jon Kenworthy, combined with a Trump endorsement and the absence of any Democratic primary contest, has further consolidated this position ahead of the November general election. The district has not elected a Democrat in decades, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns. Only late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event or unforeseen scandal could realistically reopen the race before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,081Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solid Republican lean of Indiana’s Third Congressional District, anchored in the Fort Wayne area and rated safe for the party by major forecasters, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 5 primary win with nearly 69 percent of the vote against challenger Jon Kenworthy, combined with a Trump endorsement and the absence of any Democratic primary contest, has further consolidated this position ahead of the November general election. The district has not elected a Democrat in decades, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns. Only late-cycle developments such as a major candidate health event or unforeseen scandal could realistically reopen the race before voters decide.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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