United Russia maintains dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition. Kremlin directives have set lowered performance targets of 45-50% in select regions to manage legitimacy perceptions, yet the party retains majorities in nearly all regional assemblies from prior cycles and benefits from centralized control over governors and electoral commissions. Recent adjustments in federal districts reflect modest polling softness tied to economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, yet these factors have not altered the structural barriers facing challengers. Traders price the 66% probability for United Russia securing every region on this consistent pattern of engineered outcomes and historical precedent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật66% khả năng
$155,866 KL.
$155,866 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
66% khả năng
$155,866 KL.
$155,866 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition. Kremlin directives have set lowered performance targets of 45-50% in select regions to manage legitimacy perceptions, yet the party retains majorities in nearly all regional assemblies from prior cycles and benefits from centralized control over governors and electoral commissions. Recent adjustments in federal districts reflect modest polling softness tied to economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, yet these factors have not altered the structural barriers facing challengers. Traders price the 66% probability for United Russia securing every region on this consistent pattern of engineered outcomes and historical precedent.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Khối lượng
$155,866Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition. Kremlin directives have set lowered performance targets of 45-50% in select regions to manage legitimacy perceptions, yet the party retains majorities in nearly all regional assemblies from prior cycles and benefits from centralized control over governors and electoral commissions. Recent adjustments in federal districts reflect modest polling softness tied to economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, yet these factors have not altered the structural barriers facing challengers. Traders price the 66% probability for United Russia securing every region on this consistent pattern of engineered outcomes and historical precedent.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$155,866Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia maintains dominant institutional advantages ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and exclusion of non-systemic opposition. Kremlin directives have set lowered performance targets of 45-50% in select regions to manage legitimacy perceptions, yet the party retains majorities in nearly all regional assemblies from prior cycles and benefits from centralized control over governors and electoral commissions. Recent adjustments in federal districts reflect modest polling softness tied to economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, yet these factors have not altered the structural barriers facing challengers. Traders price the 66% probability for United Russia securing every region on this consistent pattern of engineered outcomes and historical precedent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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Liệu Đảng Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga sắp tới không?
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Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
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