Aisha Wahab leads the market for California's 14th congressional district special election runoff at 85 percent, reflecting her stronger primary performance and higher statewide profile as a sitting state senator. In the June 16 special primary, Wahab captured roughly 38-43 percent of the vote while Melissa Hernandez, a BART board president and former Dublin mayor, placed second with around 17 percent; no candidate reached a majority, triggering the August 18 contest to complete Eric Swalwell's unexpired term following his April resignation. The heavily Democratic East Bay district has seen substantial outside spending and debate over public safety, yet Wahab's earlier vote share and legislative experience have shaped trader consensus ahead of the imminent runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 85%
Melissa Hernandez 14.1%
Carin Elam <1%
Wendy Huang <1%
$24,916 KL.
$24,916 KL.
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
14%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
Aisha Wahab 85%
Melissa Hernandez 14.1%
Carin Elam <1%
Wendy Huang <1%
$24,916 KL.
$24,916 KL.
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
14%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
1%
Matt Ortega
<1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the market for California's 14th congressional district special election runoff at 85 percent, reflecting her stronger primary performance and higher statewide profile as a sitting state senator. In the June 16 special primary, Wahab captured roughly 38-43 percent of the vote while Melissa Hernandez, a BART board president and former Dublin mayor, placed second with around 17 percent; no candidate reached a majority, triggering the August 18 contest to complete Eric Swalwell's unexpired term following his April resignation. The heavily Democratic East Bay district has seen substantial outside spending and debate over public safety, yet Wahab's earlier vote share and legislative experience have shaped trader consensus ahead of the imminent runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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