The special election on July 28, 2026, to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District—created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott—features a crowded all-party field with no majority likely, triggering a potential August 25 runoff under state rules. Multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott (daughter of the late representative), Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, and Everton Blair, compete alongside Republican Caesar Gonzales in a solidly Democratic district where the eventual nominee is expected to prevail in November. Trader consensus remains closely balanced around 30–45% implied probabilities for the leading Democratic names because limited recent polling, modest campaign visibility, and vote-splitting dynamics among local officeholders and party activists have produced no dominant frontrunner. Developments that could separate the field include major endorsements from state or national Democratic figures, early fundraising disclosures showing resource advantages, candidate forums that clarify policy differences on issues such as economic development and healthcare access, or the emergence of consolidated support behind one or two candidates ahead of the July ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarcye Scott 45%
Carlos Moore 39%
Tony Brown 34%
Everton Blair 31%

Marcye Scott
45%

Carlos Moore
39%

Tony Brown
34%

Everton Blair
31%

Caesar Gonzales
10%

Fayth Park
10%
Marcye Scott 45%
Carlos Moore 39%
Tony Brown 34%
Everton Blair 31%

Marcye Scott
45%

Carlos Moore
39%

Tony Brown
34%

Everton Blair
31%

Caesar Gonzales
10%

Fayth Park
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The special election on July 28, 2026, to fill the vacancy in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District—created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott—features a crowded all-party field with no majority likely, triggering a potential August 25 runoff under state rules. Multiple Democratic contenders, including Marcye Scott (daughter of the late representative), Carlos Moore, Tony Brown, and Everton Blair, compete alongside Republican Caesar Gonzales in a solidly Democratic district where the eventual nominee is expected to prevail in November. Trader consensus remains closely balanced around 30–45% implied probabilities for the leading Democratic names because limited recent polling, modest campaign visibility, and vote-splitting dynamics among local officeholders and party activists have produced no dominant frontrunner. Developments that could separate the field include major endorsements from state or national Democratic figures, early fundraising disclosures showing resource advantages, candidate forums that clarify policy differences on issues such as economic development and healthcare access, or the emergence of consolidated support behind one or two candidates ahead of the July ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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