The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the GA-13 special election market due to the district's consistent partisan profile and the structure of the July 28 first-round vote, which sent two Democrats—Marcye Scott and Everton Blair—into the August 25 runoff while Republicans combined for under 14 percent. Georgia's 13th has long favored Democratic candidates in both special and general elections, reflecting its metro Atlanta demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus reflects this base-rate advantage and the absence of competitive Republican options. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout in the runoff or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal or late legal intervention altering the field, though such outcomes remain low-probability given recent results and historical precedent for the seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGA-13 House Election Winner
GA-13 House Election Winner
$28,221 KL.
$28,221 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$28,221 KL.
$28,221 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,962 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$19,259 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the GA-13 special election market due to the district's consistent partisan profile and the structure of the July 28 first-round vote, which sent two Democrats—Marcye Scott and Everton Blair—into the August 25 runoff while Republicans combined for under 14 percent. Georgia's 13th has long favored Democratic candidates in both special and general elections, reflecting its metro Atlanta demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus reflects this base-rate advantage and the absence of competitive Republican options. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout in the runoff or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal or late legal intervention altering the field, though such outcomes remain low-probability given recent results and historical precedent for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,221Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the GA-13 special election market due to the district's consistent partisan profile and the structure of the July 28 first-round vote, which sent two Democrats—Marcye Scott and Everton Blair—into the August 25 runoff while Republicans combined for under 14 percent. Georgia's 13th has long favored Democratic candidates in both special and general elections, reflecting its metro Atlanta demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus reflects this base-rate advantage and the absence of competitive Republican options. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout in the runoff or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal or late legal intervention altering the field, though such outcomes remain low-probability given recent results and historical precedent for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,221Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in the GA-13 special election market due to the district's consistent partisan profile and the structure of the July 28 first-round vote, which sent two Democrats—Marcye Scott and Everton Blair—into the August 25 runoff while Republicans combined for under 14 percent. Georgia's 13th has long favored Democratic candidates in both special and general elections, reflecting its metro Atlanta demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus reflects this base-rate advantage and the absence of competitive Republican options. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout in the runoff or an unforeseen development such as candidate withdrawal or late legal intervention altering the field, though such outcomes remain low-probability given recent results and historical precedent for the seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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