Statutory requirements under federal law fix the 2026 midterm elections for November 3, with no unilateral presidential authority to alter or postpone the date. Recent primary schedules across states have advanced without disruption, supported by continuing resolutions that avert government funding lapses before Election Day. Traders assign 96% probability to the outcome occurring on schedule because constitutional and legislative frameworks have consistently upheld even-year general elections through prior national challenges. Limited downside risks remain if Congress enacts an emergency change amid a severe crisis or if multiple states face simultaneous natural disasters requiring coordinated postponements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật96% khả năng
$364,040 KL.
$364,040 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
96% khả năng
$364,040 KL.
$364,040 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Statutory requirements under federal law fix the 2026 midterm elections for November 3, with no unilateral presidential authority to alter or postpone the date. Recent primary schedules across states have advanced without disruption, supported by continuing resolutions that avert government funding lapses before Election Day. Traders assign 96% probability to the outcome occurring on schedule because constitutional and legislative frameworks have consistently upheld even-year general elections through prior national challenges. Limited downside risks remain if Congress enacts an emergency change amid a severe crisis or if multiple states face simultaneous natural disasters requiring coordinated postponements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$364,040Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Statutory requirements under federal law fix the 2026 midterm elections for November 3, with no unilateral presidential authority to alter or postpone the date. Recent primary schedules across states have advanced without disruption, supported by continuing resolutions that avert government funding lapses before Election Day. Traders assign 96% probability to the outcome occurring on schedule because constitutional and legislative frameworks have consistently upheld even-year general elections through prior national challenges. Limited downside risks remain if Congress enacts an emergency change amid a severe crisis or if multiple states face simultaneous natural disasters requiring coordinated postponements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$364,040Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 15, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Statutory requirements under federal law fix the 2026 midterm elections for November 3, with no unilateral presidential authority to alter or postpone the date. Recent primary schedules across states have advanced without disruption, supported by continuing resolutions that avert government funding lapses before Election Day. Traders assign 96% probability to the outcome occurring on schedule because constitutional and legislative frameworks have consistently upheld even-year general elections through prior national challenges. Limited downside risks remain if Congress enacts an emergency change amid a severe crisis or if multiple states face simultaneous natural disasters requiring coordinated postponements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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