Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent New Hampshire Senate polls for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 82.5% implied probability of victory. A May UNH survey shows Pappas ahead of GOP challenger Scott Brown 52%-38%, while earlier Emerson polling indicated a tie with John Sununu, the Republican primary frontrunner; these results underscore Pappas's strength in the Democratic-leaning battleground despite a crowded GOP field of former senators. New Hampshire's track record of electing Democrats to Senate seats—Hassan by 7 points in 2022, Shaheen by 15 in 2020—bolsters the edge, amid voter priorities like housing, taxes, and cost of living. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 could shift dynamics if national midterm trends favor the out-party.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
$25,316 KL.
$25,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
83%
Republican
17%
$25,316 KL.
$25,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,246 KL.
83%
Republican
$8,071 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent New Hampshire Senate polls for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 82.5% implied probability of victory. A May UNH survey shows Pappas ahead of GOP challenger Scott Brown 52%-38%, while earlier Emerson polling indicated a tie with John Sununu, the Republican primary frontrunner; these results underscore Pappas's strength in the Democratic-leaning battleground despite a crowded GOP field of former senators. New Hampshire's track record of electing Democrats to Senate seats—Hassan by 7 points in 2022, Shaheen by 15 in 2020—bolsters the edge, amid voter priorities like housing, taxes, and cost of living. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 could shift dynamics if national midterm trends favor the out-party.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent New Hampshire Senate polls for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 82.5% implied probability of victory. A May UNH survey shows Pappas ahead of GOP challenger Scott Brown 52%-38%, while earlier Emerson polling indicated a tie with John Sununu, the Republican primary frontrunner; these results underscore Pappas's strength in the Democratic-leaning battleground despite a crowded GOP field of former senators. New Hampshire's track record of electing Democrats to Senate seats—Hassan by 7 points in 2022, Shaheen by 15 in 2020—bolsters the edge, amid voter priorities like housing, taxes, and cost of living. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 could shift dynamics if national midterm trends favor the out-party.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$25,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent New Hampshire Senate polls for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jeanne Shaheen, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 82.5% implied probability of victory. A May UNH survey shows Pappas ahead of GOP challenger Scott Brown 52%-38%, while earlier Emerson polling indicated a tie with John Sununu, the Republican primary frontrunner; these results underscore Pappas's strength in the Democratic-leaning battleground despite a crowded GOP field of former senators. New Hampshire's track record of electing Democrats to Senate seats—Hassan by 7 points in 2022, Shaheen by 15 in 2020—bolsters the edge, amid voter priorities like housing, taxes, and cost of living. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 could shift dynamics if national midterm trends favor the out-party.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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