Michigan's 11th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Haley Stevens launched a U.S. Senate bid, maintains a strong Democratic tilt with D+9 partisan voting index and past margins exceeding 18 points, anchoring trader consensus at 95.7% for the Democratic Party. A competitive Democratic primary features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading fundraising at nearly $1 million through March, contrasting a thin Republican field of Troy Mayor Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano with negligible resources. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Late challenges could arise from a flawed Democratic nominee post-August 4 primaries, local scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout in Oakland County suburbs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$56,095 KL.
$56,095 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$56,095 KL.
$56,095 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$43,902 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$12,193 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Haley Stevens launched a U.S. Senate bid, maintains a strong Democratic tilt with D+9 partisan voting index and past margins exceeding 18 points, anchoring trader consensus at 95.7% for the Democratic Party. A competitive Democratic primary features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading fundraising at nearly $1 million through March, contrasting a thin Republican field of Troy Mayor Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano with negligible resources. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Late challenges could arise from a flawed Democratic nominee post-August 4 primaries, local scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout in Oakland County suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Haley Stevens launched a U.S. Senate bid, maintains a strong Democratic tilt with D+9 partisan voting index and past margins exceeding 18 points, anchoring trader consensus at 95.7% for the Democratic Party. A competitive Democratic primary features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading fundraising at nearly $1 million through March, contrasting a thin Republican field of Troy Mayor Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano with negligible resources. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Late challenges could arise from a flawed Democratic nominee post-August 4 primaries, local scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout in Oakland County suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$56,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Haley Stevens launched a U.S. Senate bid, maintains a strong Democratic tilt with D+9 partisan voting index and past margins exceeding 18 points, anchoring trader consensus at 95.7% for the Democratic Party. A competitive Democratic primary features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading fundraising at nearly $1 million through March, contrasting a thin Republican field of Troy Mayor Ethan Baker and Anthony Paesano with negligible resources. Forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Late challenges could arise from a flawed Democratic nominee post-August 4 primaries, local scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave shifting turnout in Oakland County suburbs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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