Christina Hines holds a 65.5% implied probability in the MI-10 House race because the open seat—vacated by Republican John James, who is running for governor—sits in a competitive suburban Detroit district covering much of Macomb County. Hines, a special victims prosecutor and Macomb native, won her August 4 primary and launched her first TV ad in early September emphasizing her record prosecuting predators and her experience as a working mother of three. Limited polling shows a near-tie, while the district’s recent voting patterns and midterm dynamics allow Democratic turnout advantages. Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who won his primary decisively, benefits from name recognition tied to his father’s long tenure as Oakland County sheriff and stronger fundraising, yet traders price the Republican at 34.5% amid the closely contested environment heading into November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Hines (D)
66%
Mike Bouchard (R)
35%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Christina Hines (D)
$5,039 KL.
66%
Mike Bouchard (R)
$2,773 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines holds a 65.5% implied probability in the MI-10 House race because the open seat—vacated by Republican John James, who is running for governor—sits in a competitive suburban Detroit district covering much of Macomb County. Hines, a special victims prosecutor and Macomb native, won her August 4 primary and launched her first TV ad in early September emphasizing her record prosecuting predators and her experience as a working mother of three. Limited polling shows a near-tie, while the district’s recent voting patterns and midterm dynamics allow Democratic turnout advantages. Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who won his primary decisively, benefits from name recognition tied to his father’s long tenure as Oakland County sheriff and stronger fundraising, yet traders price the Republican at 34.5% amid the closely contested environment heading into November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,812Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Hines holds a 65.5% implied probability in the MI-10 House race because the open seat—vacated by Republican John James, who is running for governor—sits in a competitive suburban Detroit district covering much of Macomb County. Hines, a special victims prosecutor and Macomb native, won her August 4 primary and launched her first TV ad in early September emphasizing her record prosecuting predators and her experience as a working mother of three. Limited polling shows a near-tie, while the district’s recent voting patterns and midterm dynamics allow Democratic turnout advantages. Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who won his primary decisively, benefits from name recognition tied to his father’s long tenure as Oakland County sheriff and stronger fundraising, yet traders price the Republican at 34.5% amid the closely contested environment heading into November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,812Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Hines holds a 65.5% implied probability in the MI-10 House race because the open seat—vacated by Republican John James, who is running for governor—sits in a competitive suburban Detroit district covering much of Macomb County. Hines, a special victims prosecutor and Macomb native, won her August 4 primary and launched her first TV ad in early September emphasizing her record prosecuting predators and her experience as a working mother of three. Limited polling shows a near-tie, while the district’s recent voting patterns and midterm dynamics allow Democratic turnout advantages. Bouchard, an Army veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who won his primary decisively, benefits from name recognition tied to his father’s long tenure as Oakland County sheriff and stronger fundraising, yet traders price the Republican at 34.5% amid the closely contested environment heading into November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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