Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and an R+5 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 with 60.7% of the vote, holds a structural edge through name recognition and fundraising as he seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary features Baumgartner alongside multiple Democratic and independent challengers. Recent May Tavern Research polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by 6 points, consistent with the district's voting history and limited national focus on the race. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee advancing and prevailing, with no major developments such as candidate withdrawals or endorsements altering positioning since the May filing deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$15,009 KL.
$15,009 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
48%
Democratic Party
27%
$15,009 KL.
$15,009 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,189 KL.
48%
Democratic Party
$7,833 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and an R+5 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 with 60.7% of the vote, holds a structural edge through name recognition and fundraising as he seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary features Baumgartner alongside multiple Democratic and independent challengers. Recent May Tavern Research polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by 6 points, consistent with the district's voting history and limited national focus on the race. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee advancing and prevailing, with no major developments such as candidate withdrawals or endorsements altering positioning since the May filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and an R+5 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 with 60.7% of the vote, holds a structural edge through name recognition and fundraising as he seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary features Baumgartner alongside multiple Democratic and independent challengers. Recent May Tavern Research polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by 6 points, consistent with the district's voting history and limited national focus on the race. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee advancing and prevailing, with no major developments such as candidate withdrawals or endorsements altering positioning since the May filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district, covering much of eastern Washington including Spokane, remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating and an R+5 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner, who won the seat in 2024 with 60.7% of the vote, holds a structural edge through name recognition and fundraising as he seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election. The August 4 top-two primary features Baumgartner alongside multiple Democratic and independent challengers. Recent May Tavern Research polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by 6 points, consistent with the district's voting history and limited national focus on the race. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee advancing and prevailing, with no major developments such as candidate withdrawals or endorsements altering positioning since the May filing deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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