**Incumbent Republican Eli Crane faces Democrat Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch of the 2024 contest that Crane won 54.5%–45.5%. The district’s R+7 partisan voter index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Likely Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. A June 2026 poll showed Crane ahead by a modest margin, consistent with the seat’s rural and suburban makeup across northeastern Arizona counties. Nez’s profile as former Navajo Nation president provides Democrats a base in key areas, yet the structural Republican advantage and lack of major recent disruptions have kept implied probabilities stable near 70% for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
29%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,465 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$1,154 KL.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Eli Crane faces Democrat Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch of the 2024 contest that Crane won 54.5%–45.5%. The district’s R+7 partisan voter index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Likely Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. A June 2026 poll showed Crane ahead by a modest margin, consistent with the seat’s rural and suburban makeup across northeastern Arizona counties. Nez’s profile as former Navajo Nation president provides Democrats a base in key areas, yet the structural Republican advantage and lack of major recent disruptions have kept implied probabilities stable near 70% for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,618Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Eli Crane faces Democrat Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch of the 2024 contest that Crane won 54.5%–45.5%. The district’s R+7 partisan voter index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Likely Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. A June 2026 poll showed Crane ahead by a modest margin, consistent with the seat’s rural and suburban makeup across northeastern Arizona counties. Nez’s profile as former Navajo Nation president provides Democrats a base in key areas, yet the structural Republican advantage and lack of major recent disruptions have kept implied probabilities stable near 70% for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,618Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Eli Crane faces Democrat Jonathan Nez in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2026.** Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries, setting up a rematch of the 2024 contest that Crane won 54.5%–45.5%. The district’s R+7 partisan voter index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Likely Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. A June 2026 poll showed Crane ahead by a modest margin, consistent with the seat’s rural and suburban makeup across northeastern Arizona counties. Nez’s profile as former Navajo Nation president provides Democrats a base in key areas, yet the structural Republican advantage and lack of major recent disruptions have kept implied probabilities stable near 70% for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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