Incumbent Republican John McGuire's strong fundraising and hold on the R+6 VA-05 district, bolstered by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling overturning a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan, drive trader consensus at 74% for a GOP win. The decision preserves the current map favoring Republicans, where McGuire won 57%-42% in 2024 after narrowly defeating Bob Good in the primary—a rematch looms ahead of the August 4 primary. A crowded Democratic field, including well-funded Tom Perriello and Mike Pruitt, splits opposition in a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying contenders. Midterm dynamics and incumbency historically favor the GOP here.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$52,217 KL.
$52,217 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
25%
$52,217 KL.
$52,217 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$23,906 KL.
74%
Democratic Party
$28,312 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire's strong fundraising and hold on the R+6 VA-05 district, bolstered by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling overturning a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan, drive trader consensus at 74% for a GOP win. The decision preserves the current map favoring Republicans, where McGuire won 57%-42% in 2024 after narrowly defeating Bob Good in the primary—a rematch looms ahead of the August 4 primary. A crowded Democratic field, including well-funded Tom Perriello and Mike Pruitt, splits opposition in a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying contenders. Midterm dynamics and incumbency historically favor the GOP here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,217Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire's strong fundraising and hold on the R+6 VA-05 district, bolstered by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling overturning a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan, drive trader consensus at 74% for a GOP win. The decision preserves the current map favoring Republicans, where McGuire won 57%-42% in 2024 after narrowly defeating Bob Good in the primary—a rematch looms ahead of the August 4 primary. A crowded Democratic field, including well-funded Tom Perriello and Mike Pruitt, splits opposition in a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying contenders. Midterm dynamics and incumbency historically favor the GOP here.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,217Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John McGuire's strong fundraising and hold on the R+6 VA-05 district, bolstered by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling overturning a Democratic-backed mid-decade redistricting plan, drive trader consensus at 74% for a GOP win. The decision preserves the current map favoring Republicans, where McGuire won 57%-42% in 2024 after narrowly defeating Bob Good in the primary—a rematch looms ahead of the August 4 primary. A crowded Democratic field, including well-funded Tom Perriello and Mike Pruitt, splits opposition in a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying contenders. Midterm dynamics and incumbency historically favor the GOP here.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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