Republican incumbent John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, advancing to face former Democratic Congressman Tom Perriello, who won his side's contest. The district's partisan profile underpins the current trader consensus, as it favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in the 2024 presidential and gubernatorial races. McGuire's incumbency, combined with the seat's Cook Political Report rating as a safe or solid Republican hold, shapes the implied probabilities. Perriello brings prior House experience and name recognition that could influence turnout among Democratic voters, yet the underlying electoral math and recent primary results have kept Republican positioning dominant in market pricing. General election campaigning remains early, with standard factors such as fundraising and national midterm dynamics likely to feature in coming months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$63,808 KL.
$63,808 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
17%
$63,808 KL.
$63,808 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$31,416 KL.
79%
Democratic Party
$32,391 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, advancing to face former Democratic Congressman Tom Perriello, who won his side's contest. The district's partisan profile underpins the current trader consensus, as it favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in the 2024 presidential and gubernatorial races. McGuire's incumbency, combined with the seat's Cook Political Report rating as a safe or solid Republican hold, shapes the implied probabilities. Perriello brings prior House experience and name recognition that could influence turnout among Democratic voters, yet the underlying electoral math and recent primary results have kept Republican positioning dominant in market pricing. General election campaigning remains early, with standard factors such as fundraising and national midterm dynamics likely to feature in coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,808Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, advancing to face former Democratic Congressman Tom Perriello, who won his side's contest. The district's partisan profile underpins the current trader consensus, as it favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in the 2024 presidential and gubernatorial races. McGuire's incumbency, combined with the seat's Cook Political Report rating as a safe or solid Republican hold, shapes the implied probabilities. Perriello brings prior House experience and name recognition that could influence turnout among Democratic voters, yet the underlying electoral math and recent primary results have kept Republican positioning dominant in market pricing. General election campaigning remains early, with standard factors such as fundraising and national midterm dynamics likely to feature in coming months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$63,808Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John McGuire secured his party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, advancing to face former Democratic Congressman Tom Perriello, who won his side's contest. The district's partisan profile underpins the current trader consensus, as it favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in the 2024 presidential and gubernatorial races. McGuire's incumbency, combined with the seat's Cook Political Report rating as a safe or solid Republican hold, shapes the implied probabilities. Perriello brings prior House experience and name recognition that could influence turnout among Democratic voters, yet the underlying electoral math and recent primary results have kept Republican positioning dominant in market pricing. General election campaigning remains early, with standard factors such as fundraising and national midterm dynamics likely to feature in coming months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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