Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$15,916 KL.
$15,916 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$15,916 KL.
$15,916 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,508 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$7,408 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,916Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,916Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-70 percent Democratic margins in recent cycles. The open-seat contest following Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement announcement has produced a crowded Democratic primary on June 23 but no viable Republican challenger, anchoring trader consensus on the Democratic nominee. Historical turnout patterns in Prince George’s County and southern Maryland suburbs reinforce this positioning, while Republican candidates remain limited by the district’s partisan composition. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, including an unforeseen post-primary scandal or an unusually severe national Republican wave that depresses Democratic participation in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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