Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis' bid for an 11th term anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP hold in Florida's 12th Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+17 seat where he won his last general election by 71%. Recent mid-decade redistricting, approved in early May, incorporated more competitive areas like northwest Hillsborough and Pasco counties, trimming the district's Trump margin to about 52%-46%, yet forecasters maintain a Solid Republican rating due to Bilirakis' fundraising edge ($435,000 cash on hand) and entrenched incumbency since 2006. Democrat Darren McAuley, a veteran physician and top fundraiser who switched from CD-15 last week, joins a primary field with Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman ahead of the August 18 primaries, but traders see limited path to upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$23,584 KL.
$23,584 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
$23,584 KL.
$23,584 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,635 KL.
82%
Democratic Party
$14,949 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis' bid for an 11th term anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP hold in Florida's 12th Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+17 seat where he won his last general election by 71%. Recent mid-decade redistricting, approved in early May, incorporated more competitive areas like northwest Hillsborough and Pasco counties, trimming the district's Trump margin to about 52%-46%, yet forecasters maintain a Solid Republican rating due to Bilirakis' fundraising edge ($435,000 cash on hand) and entrenched incumbency since 2006. Democrat Darren McAuley, a veteran physician and top fundraiser who switched from CD-15 last week, joins a primary field with Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman ahead of the August 18 primaries, but traders see limited path to upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,584Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis' bid for an 11th term anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP hold in Florida's 12th Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+17 seat where he won his last general election by 71%. Recent mid-decade redistricting, approved in early May, incorporated more competitive areas like northwest Hillsborough and Pasco counties, trimming the district's Trump margin to about 52%-46%, yet forecasters maintain a Solid Republican rating due to Bilirakis' fundraising edge ($435,000 cash on hand) and entrenched incumbency since 2006. Democrat Darren McAuley, a veteran physician and top fundraiser who switched from CD-15 last week, joins a primary field with Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman ahead of the August 18 primaries, but traders see limited path to upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,584Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis' bid for an 11th term anchors trader consensus at 81% for a GOP hold in Florida's 12th Congressional District, a Cook PVI R+17 seat where he won his last general election by 71%. Recent mid-decade redistricting, approved in early May, incorporated more competitive areas like northwest Hillsborough and Pasco counties, trimming the district's Trump margin to about 52%-46%, yet forecasters maintain a Solid Republican rating due to Bilirakis' fundraising edge ($435,000 cash on hand) and entrenched incumbency since 2006. Democrat Darren McAuley, a veteran physician and top fundraiser who switched from CD-15 last week, joins a primary field with Christopher Irizarry and Kimberly Overman ahead of the August 18 primaries, but traders see limited path to upset absent major shifts like scandals or national wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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