Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a narrow lead over Miljöpartiet (MP) in most surveys, with C typically at 6.6–7.3% and MP at 6.2–7.2%. This pattern in the latest Demoskop and earlier Novus and Indikator releases underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for C. Both parties remain small players navigating bloc dynamics, with no major recent policy announcements, leadership changes, or scandals altering their relative standing in the past month. The race stays competitive, as small shifts in turnout or voter preferences among swing groups could still close the gap before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
MP
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Sep 13, 2026
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Sep 13, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a narrow lead over Miljöpartiet (MP) in most surveys, with C typically at 6.6–7.3% and MP at 6.2–7.2%. This pattern in the latest Demoskop and earlier Novus and Indikator releases underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for C. Both parties remain small players navigating bloc dynamics, with no major recent policy announcements, leadership changes, or scandals altering their relative standing in the past month. The race stays competitive, as small shifts in turnout or voter preferences among swing groups could still close the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a narrow lead over Miljöpartiet (MP) in most surveys, with C typically at 6.6–7.3% and MP at 6.2–7.2%. This pattern in the latest Demoskop and earlier Novus and Indikator releases underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for C. Both parties remain small players navigating bloc dynamics, with no major recent policy announcements, leadership changes, or scandals altering their relative standing in the past month. The race stays competitive, as small shifts in turnout or voter preferences among swing groups could still close the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$201Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a narrow lead over Miljöpartiet (MP) in most surveys, with C typically at 6.6–7.3% and MP at 6.2–7.2%. This pattern in the latest Demoskop and earlier Novus and Indikator releases underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5% implied probability for C. Both parties remain small players navigating bloc dynamics, with no major recent policy announcements, leadership changes, or scandals altering their relative standing in the past month. The race stays competitive, as small shifts in turnout or voter preferences among swing groups could still close the gap before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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