Recent Swedish polling shows Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet locked in a tight race for fourth- or fifth-place support ahead of the 13 September Riksdag election, with most surveys placing both parties between 6.3% and 7.8% and V holding a marginal edge in the latest Novus and Demoskop readings. This narrow gap underpins the market’s slim 51% consensus for V receiving more votes. The broader centre-left bloc maintains a modest lead over the governing Tidö parties, yet neither small party has registered decisive momentum from campaign events, gender or regional turnout patterns, or policy contrasts on climate, welfare, and migration. Late shifts in voter mobilization among left-leaning or green-leaning cohorts, or any surprise movement in overall bloc preferences, could still determine which party finishes ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtV
53% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
V
53% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling shows Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet locked in a tight race for fourth- or fifth-place support ahead of the 13 September Riksdag election, with most surveys placing both parties between 6.3% and 7.8% and V holding a marginal edge in the latest Novus and Demoskop readings. This narrow gap underpins the market’s slim 51% consensus for V receiving more votes. The broader centre-left bloc maintains a modest lead over the governing Tidö parties, yet neither small party has registered decisive momentum from campaign events, gender or regional turnout patterns, or policy contrasts on climate, welfare, and migration. Late shifts in voter mobilization among left-leaning or green-leaning cohorts, or any surprise movement in overall bloc preferences, could still determine which party finishes ahead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$495Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling shows Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet locked in a tight race for fourth- or fifth-place support ahead of the 13 September Riksdag election, with most surveys placing both parties between 6.3% and 7.8% and V holding a marginal edge in the latest Novus and Demoskop readings. This narrow gap underpins the market’s slim 51% consensus for V receiving more votes. The broader centre-left bloc maintains a modest lead over the governing Tidö parties, yet neither small party has registered decisive momentum from campaign events, gender or regional turnout patterns, or policy contrasts on climate, welfare, and migration. Late shifts in voter mobilization among left-leaning or green-leaning cohorts, or any surprise movement in overall bloc preferences, could still determine which party finishes ahead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$495Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish polling shows Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet locked in a tight race for fourth- or fifth-place support ahead of the 13 September Riksdag election, with most surveys placing both parties between 6.3% and 7.8% and V holding a marginal edge in the latest Novus and Demoskop readings. This narrow gap underpins the market’s slim 51% consensus for V receiving more votes. The broader centre-left bloc maintains a modest lead over the governing Tidö parties, yet neither small party has registered decisive momentum from campaign events, gender or regional turnout patterns, or policy contrasts on climate, welfare, and migration. Late shifts in voter mobilization among left-leaning or green-leaning cohorts, or any surprise movement in overall bloc preferences, could still determine which party finishes ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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