Recent polls for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with the latest Demoskop survey at 7.5% and Novus at 6.1%. These readings reflect modest gains for the party since earlier 2026 surveys, including a May Statistics Sweden result of 4.5%, as KD participates in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. Traders appear to weigh this consistent mid-single-digit positioning, historical performance near the 4% threshold, and limited volatility against broader bloc dynamics when assigning the highest probability to the 5-7% band. No major party-specific catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to push readings decisively higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
<5% 17%
9%+ 9.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
17%
5-7%
45%
7-9%
26%
9%+
9%
5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
<5% 17%
9%+ 9.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
$187 KL.
17%
5-7%
$4,662 KL.
45%
7-9%
$452 KL.
26%
9%+
$179 KL.
9%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with the latest Demoskop survey at 7.5% and Novus at 6.1%. These readings reflect modest gains for the party since earlier 2026 surveys, including a May Statistics Sweden result of 4.5%, as KD participates in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. Traders appear to weigh this consistent mid-single-digit positioning, historical performance near the 4% threshold, and limited volatility against broader bloc dynamics when assigning the highest probability to the 5-7% band. No major party-specific catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to push readings decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,480Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with the latest Demoskop survey at 7.5% and Novus at 6.1%. These readings reflect modest gains for the party since earlier 2026 surveys, including a May Statistics Sweden result of 4.5%, as KD participates in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. Traders appear to weigh this consistent mid-single-digit positioning, historical performance near the 4% threshold, and limited volatility against broader bloc dynamics when assigning the highest probability to the 5-7% band. No major party-specific catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to push readings decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$5,480Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Sweden’s September 2026 parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between 6.1% and 7.5%, with the latest Demoskop survey at 7.5% and Novus at 6.1%. These readings reflect modest gains for the party since earlier 2026 surveys, including a May Statistics Sweden result of 4.5%, as KD participates in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates and Liberals with Sweden Democrats support. Traders appear to weigh this consistent mid-single-digit positioning, historical performance near the 4% threshold, and limited volatility against broader bloc dynamics when assigning the highest probability to the 5-7% band. No major party-specific catalysts have emerged in recent weeks to push readings decisively higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp