Recent polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Centerpartiet support fluctuating between 6.2% and 7.3%, with the most recent Demoskop survey placing it at 7.3% and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 6.6–7.0%. These figures reflect the party’s positioning as a smaller centrist option amid a contest dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, with ongoing coalition dynamics and bloc competition affecting smaller parties’ shares. Trader consensus on the “Over 6%” outcome at 63.5% aligns with this polling range, as the party has remained near or above the threshold in surveys conducted through early August while facing typical late-campaign volatility for mid-sized groups. No major leadership or policy shifts have recently altered its trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOver
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Centerpartiet support fluctuating between 6.2% and 7.3%, with the most recent Demoskop survey placing it at 7.3% and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 6.6–7.0%. These figures reflect the party’s positioning as a smaller centrist option amid a contest dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats, with ongoing coalition dynamics and bloc competition affecting smaller parties’ shares. Trader consensus on the “Over 6%” outcome at 63.5% aligns with this polling range, as the party has remained near or above the threshold in surveys conducted through early August while facing typical late-campaign volatility for mid-sized groups. No major leadership or policy shifts have recently altered its trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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