Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong reelection bid in the solidly Democratic MI-12, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her 2024 general election win by 44 points and $4.7 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's urban Detroit core and Harris's 67% 2024 presidential margin underscore enduring Democratic dominance, with no formidable Republican challengers—James Hooper, who took 25% last cycle, runs unopposed in the August 4 open primary. While odds imply low upset risk, a Tlaib primary defeat by challengers like Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, a recruiting surge for a stronger GOP nominee, or unforeseen scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$28,833 KL.
$28,833 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$28,833 KL.
$28,833 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,658 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong reelection bid in the solidly Democratic MI-12, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her 2024 general election win by 44 points and $4.7 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's urban Detroit core and Harris's 67% 2024 presidential margin underscore enduring Democratic dominance, with no formidable Republican challengers—James Hooper, who took 25% last cycle, runs unopposed in the August 4 open primary. While odds imply low upset risk, a Tlaib primary defeat by challengers like Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, a recruiting surge for a stronger GOP nominee, or unforeseen scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,833Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong reelection bid in the solidly Democratic MI-12, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her 2024 general election win by 44 points and $4.7 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's urban Detroit core and Harris's 67% 2024 presidential margin underscore enduring Democratic dominance, with no formidable Republican challengers—James Hooper, who took 25% last cycle, runs unopposed in the August 4 open primary. While odds imply low upset risk, a Tlaib primary defeat by challengers like Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, a recruiting surge for a stronger GOP nominee, or unforeseen scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,833Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong reelection bid in the solidly Democratic MI-12, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan lean, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her 2024 general election win by 44 points and $4.7 million cash on hand as of late March. The district's urban Detroit core and Harris's 67% 2024 presidential margin underscore enduring Democratic dominance, with no formidable Republican challengers—James Hooper, who took 25% last cycle, runs unopposed in the August 4 open primary. While odds imply low upset risk, a Tlaib primary defeat by challengers like Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, a recruiting surge for a stronger GOP nominee, or unforeseen scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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