Trader consensus on Democrats capturing all four 2026 Senate battlegrounds in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine sits near even odds due to narrow polling margins and distinct candidate dynamics across the races. Incumbent Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against a well-funded challenge, Michigan’s open seat draws strong recruits from both parties, Roy Cooper’s entry upgrades North Carolina’s outlook for Democrats, and Susan Collins anchors the Republican position in Maine. Recent primaries and rating shifts have underscored these individual factors without producing a decisive edge in any contest. Developments such as sustained polling movements, turnout patterns in swing areas, or national political events could alter the joint probability in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
49% khả năng
$19,812 KL.
$19,812 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
49% khả năng
$19,812 KL.
$19,812 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus on Democrats capturing all four 2026 Senate battlegrounds in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine sits near even odds due to narrow polling margins and distinct candidate dynamics across the races. Incumbent Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against a well-funded challenge, Michigan’s open seat draws strong recruits from both parties, Roy Cooper’s entry upgrades North Carolina’s outlook for Democrats, and Susan Collins anchors the Republican position in Maine. Recent primaries and rating shifts have underscored these individual factors without producing a decisive edge in any contest. Developments such as sustained polling movements, turnout patterns in swing areas, or national political events could alter the joint probability in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,812Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus on Democrats capturing all four 2026 Senate battlegrounds in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine sits near even odds due to narrow polling margins and distinct candidate dynamics across the races. Incumbent Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against a well-funded challenge, Michigan’s open seat draws strong recruits from both parties, Roy Cooper’s entry upgrades North Carolina’s outlook for Democrats, and Susan Collins anchors the Republican position in Maine. Recent primaries and rating shifts have underscored these individual factors without producing a decisive edge in any contest. Developments such as sustained polling movements, turnout patterns in swing areas, or national political events could alter the joint probability in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Khối lượng
$19,812Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Democrats capturing all four 2026 Senate battlegrounds in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine sits near even odds due to narrow polling margins and distinct candidate dynamics across the races. Incumbent Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against a well-funded challenge, Michigan’s open seat draws strong recruits from both parties, Roy Cooper’s entry upgrades North Carolina’s outlook for Democrats, and Susan Collins anchors the Republican position in Maine. Recent primaries and rating shifts have underscored these individual factors without producing a decisive edge in any contest. Developments such as sustained polling movements, turnout patterns in swing areas, or national political events could alter the joint probability in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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