Cait Conley secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, finishing with roughly 49.5 percent of the vote against Beth Davidson’s 31.9 percent and smaller shares for the remaining candidates. Her background as a West Point graduate, U.S. Army combat veteran, and former national security official aligned with voter priorities in the Hudson Valley district, supported by stronger fundraising and broader name recognition than challengers. Final certified totals produced a margin exceeding 17 points, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Conley victory of 15 percent or more. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots represent the main remaining variables that could narrow the spread, though historical patterns in New York primaries suggest limited impact on the overall result.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-17 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
NY-17 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Conley 15%+ 97.6%
Conley 5–10% 3.9%
Conley 10–15% <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$56,861 KL.
$56,861 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
Conley 15%+
98%
Conley 10–15%
1%
Conley 5–10%
4%
Conley <5%
<1%
Conley 15%+ 97.6%
Conley 5–10% 3.9%
Conley 10–15% <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$56,861 KL.
$56,861 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
Conley 15%+
$21,052 KL.
98%
Conley 10–15%
$23,361 KL.
1%
Conley 5–10%
$5,033 KL.
4%
Conley <5%
$4,532 KL.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, finishing with roughly 49.5 percent of the vote against Beth Davidson’s 31.9 percent and smaller shares for the remaining candidates. Her background as a West Point graduate, U.S. Army combat veteran, and former national security official aligned with voter priorities in the Hudson Valley district, supported by stronger fundraising and broader name recognition than challengers. Final certified totals produced a margin exceeding 17 points, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Conley victory of 15 percent or more. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots represent the main remaining variables that could narrow the spread, though historical patterns in New York primaries suggest limited impact on the overall result.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,861Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, finishing with roughly 49.5 percent of the vote against Beth Davidson’s 31.9 percent and smaller shares for the remaining candidates. Her background as a West Point graduate, U.S. Army combat veteran, and former national security official aligned with voter priorities in the Hudson Valley district, supported by stronger fundraising and broader name recognition than challengers. Final certified totals produced a margin exceeding 17 points, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Conley victory of 15 percent or more. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots represent the main remaining variables that could narrow the spread, though historical patterns in New York primaries suggest limited impact on the overall result.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$56,861Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cait Conley secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, finishing with roughly 49.5 percent of the vote against Beth Davidson’s 31.9 percent and smaller shares for the remaining candidates. Her background as a West Point graduate, U.S. Army combat veteran, and former national security official aligned with voter priorities in the Hudson Valley district, supported by stronger fundraising and broader name recognition than challengers. Final certified totals produced a margin exceeding 17 points, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Conley victory of 15 percent or more. Late adjustments in absentee or provisional ballots represent the main remaining variables that could narrow the spread, though historical patterns in New York primaries suggest limited impact on the overall result.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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