Florida's 20th Congressional District remains a Democratic stronghold with historical general election margins exceeding 60 points, as seen in Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's prior victories, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win despite her April 21 resignation amid federal charges for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds and 25 House ethics violations. The open seat has sparked a competitive Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Dale Holness and Elijah Manley per related prediction markets, alongside recent entrants like Luther Campbell—while the Republican field stays underdeveloped with minimal fundraising. Primaries on August 18 could influence nominee strength, but a GOP upset would require a high-profile recruit, primary fallout damaging the Democratic nominee, or national midterm tailwinds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-20 House Election Winner
FL-20 House Election Winner
$15,060 KL.
$15,060 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,060 KL.
$15,060 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,956 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$9,104 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District remains a Democratic stronghold with historical general election margins exceeding 60 points, as seen in Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's prior victories, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win despite her April 21 resignation amid federal charges for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds and 25 House ethics violations. The open seat has sparked a competitive Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Dale Holness and Elijah Manley per related prediction markets, alongside recent entrants like Luther Campbell—while the Republican field stays underdeveloped with minimal fundraising. Primaries on August 18 could influence nominee strength, but a GOP upset would require a high-profile recruit, primary fallout damaging the Democratic nominee, or national midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,060Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District remains a Democratic stronghold with historical general election margins exceeding 60 points, as seen in Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's prior victories, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win despite her April 21 resignation amid federal charges for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds and 25 House ethics violations. The open seat has sparked a competitive Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Dale Holness and Elijah Manley per related prediction markets, alongside recent entrants like Luther Campbell—while the Republican field stays underdeveloped with minimal fundraising. Primaries on August 18 could influence nominee strength, but a GOP upset would require a high-profile recruit, primary fallout damaging the Democratic nominee, or national midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,060Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District remains a Democratic stronghold with historical general election margins exceeding 60 points, as seen in Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's prior victories, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Democratic Party win despite her April 21 resignation amid federal charges for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds and 25 House ethics violations. The open seat has sparked a competitive Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Dale Holness and Elijah Manley per related prediction markets, alongside recent entrants like Luther Campbell—while the Republican field stays underdeveloped with minimal fundraising. Primaries on August 18 could influence nominee strength, but a GOP upset would require a high-profile recruit, primary fallout damaging the Democratic nominee, or national midterm tailwinds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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