Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's position as the unopposed nominee in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball anchors trader consensus for a GOP hold at 85 percent. Mast secured 61.8 percent in the prior cycle and benefits from an R+7 partisan voting index plus substantial fundraising in a state whose mid-decade redistricting favors Republicans statewide. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with five candidates and no current polling signals of strength, leaving little evidence of competitive pressure ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent major shifts in national conditions or local developments, the market reflects standard base rates for incumbents in safely aligned seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,041 KL.
85%
Democratic Party
$2,791 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's position as the unopposed nominee in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball anchors trader consensus for a GOP hold at 85 percent. Mast secured 61.8 percent in the prior cycle and benefits from an R+7 partisan voting index plus substantial fundraising in a state whose mid-decade redistricting favors Republicans statewide. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with five candidates and no current polling signals of strength, leaving little evidence of competitive pressure ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent major shifts in national conditions or local developments, the market reflects standard base rates for incumbents in safely aligned seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,832Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's position as the unopposed nominee in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball anchors trader consensus for a GOP hold at 85 percent. Mast secured 61.8 percent in the prior cycle and benefits from an R+7 partisan voting index plus substantial fundraising in a state whose mid-decade redistricting favors Republicans statewide. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with five candidates and no current polling signals of strength, leaving little evidence of competitive pressure ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent major shifts in national conditions or local developments, the market reflects standard base rates for incumbents in safely aligned seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,832Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's position as the unopposed nominee in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball anchors trader consensus for a GOP hold at 85 percent. Mast secured 61.8 percent in the prior cycle and benefits from an R+7 partisan voting index plus substantial fundraising in a state whose mid-decade redistricting favors Republicans statewide. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with five candidates and no current polling signals of strength, leaving little evidence of competitive pressure ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent major shifts in national conditions or local developments, the market reflects standard base rates for incumbents in safely aligned seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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