Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's commanding 61 percent finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the structural advantages in California's 36th congressional district. Heavy Democratic voter registration, a history of consistent party control, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic align with trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout that narrows the margin in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$34,993 KL.
$34,993 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,993 KL.
$34,993 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,049 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$28,944 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's commanding 61 percent finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the structural advantages in California's 36th congressional district. Heavy Democratic voter registration, a history of consistent party control, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic align with trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout that narrows the margin in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,993Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's commanding 61 percent finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the structural advantages in California's 36th congressional district. Heavy Democratic voter registration, a history of consistent party control, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic align with trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout that narrows the margin in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,993Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu's commanding 61 percent finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the structural advantages in California's 36th congressional district. Heavy Democratic voter registration, a history of consistent party control, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic align with trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94.5 percent. Limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout that narrows the margin in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp