Jess Wilson leads trader pricing for Victoria's next premier at 63.5% ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent preferred-premier polling advantages and Coalition two-party-preferred strength over Labor. Recent Labor leadership turbulence, including Jacinta Allan's July 2026 resignation under caucus pressure over construction-sector integrity issues and Ben Carroll's subsequent elevation as premier with an immediate royal commission announcement, has not reversed the opposition's position. A fragmented primary vote near 25-30% each for Labor, Coalition, and One Nation has introduced preference-flow uncertainty and hung-parliament possibilities, while lower-priced figures such as Carroll and Warren Pickering trail in head-to-head and primary measures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJess Wilson 64%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 5%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,264 KL.
$10,264 KL.
Jess Wilson
64%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
5%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
David Southwick
3%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
Sam Groth
<1%
James Newbury
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Brad Battin
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
Jess Wilson 64%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 5%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,264 KL.
$10,264 KL.
Jess Wilson
64%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
5%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
David Southwick
3%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
Sam Groth
<1%
James Newbury
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Brad Battin
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jess Wilson leads trader pricing for Victoria's next premier at 63.5% ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent preferred-premier polling advantages and Coalition two-party-preferred strength over Labor. Recent Labor leadership turbulence, including Jacinta Allan's July 2026 resignation under caucus pressure over construction-sector integrity issues and Ben Carroll's subsequent elevation as premier with an immediate royal commission announcement, has not reversed the opposition's position. A fragmented primary vote near 25-30% each for Labor, Coalition, and One Nation has introduced preference-flow uncertainty and hung-parliament possibilities, while lower-priced figures such as Carroll and Warren Pickering trail in head-to-head and primary measures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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