Recent polls show Icelandic voters split almost evenly on resuming EU accession talks, with final surveys from Maskína and Gallup placing Yes and No within the statistical margin of error around 50 percent each. Fisheries sovereignty remains the dominant concern for the No side, while Yes supporters emphasize potential relief from high interest rates and greater economic stability. Geopolitical factors, including security in the North Atlantic, have kept the issue salient but have not shifted the balance decisively. High advance turnout and the referendum's status as only the first step—any accession treaty would require a second vote—add layers of uncertainty. These dynamics sustain the tight market on narrow margins, with separation likely hinging on final turnout and how undecided voters break on fisheries concessions.