Record advance voting has reached a historic 21% of eligible voters ahead of Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks, far exceeding typical patterns and signaling intense public engagement over fisheries policy, sovereignty, currency stability, and security. This momentum, combined with historical parliamentary turnout near 80% and a polarized campaign leaving polls nearly tied, underpins trader consensus favoring 70–85% overall participation. Late mobilization by both sides, weather on election day, and the share of remaining undecided voters could still shift final figures within the tightly bunched leading ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật80–85% 46%
70–75% 26%
75–80% 25%
45–50% 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
23%
45–50%
25%
50–55%
24%
55–60%
24%
60–65%
24%
65–70%
24%
70–75%
26%
75–80%
25%
80–85%
27%
85%+
11%
80–85% 46%
70–75% 26%
75–80% 25%
45–50% 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
$0 KL.
23%
45–50%
$40 KL.
25%
50–55%
$0 KL.
24%
55–60%
$0 KL.
24%
60–65%
$0 KL.
24%
65–70%
$0 KL.
24%
70–75%
$0 KL.
26%
75–80%
$0 KL.
25%
80–85%
$7 KL.
27%
85%+
$0 KL.
11%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record advance voting has reached a historic 21% of eligible voters ahead of Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks, far exceeding typical patterns and signaling intense public engagement over fisheries policy, sovereignty, currency stability, and security. This momentum, combined with historical parliamentary turnout near 80% and a polarized campaign leaving polls nearly tied, underpins trader consensus favoring 70–85% overall participation. Late mobilization by both sides, weather on election day, and the share of remaining undecided voters could still shift final figures within the tightly bunched leading ranges.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record advance voting has reached a historic 21% of eligible voters ahead of Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks, far exceeding typical patterns and signaling intense public engagement over fisheries policy, sovereignty, currency stability, and security. This momentum, combined with historical parliamentary turnout near 80% and a polarized campaign leaving polls nearly tied, underpins trader consensus favoring 70–85% overall participation. Late mobilization by both sides, weather on election day, and the share of remaining undecided voters could still shift final figures within the tightly bunched leading ranges.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$47Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Record advance voting has reached a historic 21% of eligible voters ahead of Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks, far exceeding typical patterns and signaling intense public engagement over fisheries policy, sovereignty, currency stability, and security. This momentum, combined with historical parliamentary turnout near 80% and a polarized campaign leaving polls nearly tied, underpins trader consensus favoring 70–85% overall participation. Late mobilization by both sides, weather on election day, and the share of remaining undecided voters could still shift final figures within the tightly bunched leading ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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