The tight clustering of probabilities around the 53-56% and 62%+ turnout ranges for Russia's September 2026 State Duma election reflects historical precedents from the 2016 and 2021 votes, alongside stable polling showing United Russia support between 35-52% and abstention intentions of 7-13%. Expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing economic pressures and war fatigue sustain moderate disengagement. Trader consensus in these closely matched outcomes underscores the balancing act between intensified administrative mobilization campaigns, which historically drive higher figures, and countervailing factors such as regional protests or mobilization concerns that could cap turnout near recent averages. Separation will likely hinge on pre-election economic measures or shifts in public sentiment within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 37.8%
50-53% 36%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
24%
47-50%
34%
50-53%
36%
53-56%
38%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
27%
62%+
38%
53-56% 37.8%
50-53% 36%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$175 KL.
24%
47-50%
$67 KL.
34%
50-53%
$67 KL.
36%
53-56%
$73 KL.
38%
56-59%
$59 KL.
24%
59-62%
$60 KL.
27%
62%+
$62 KL.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The tight clustering of probabilities around the 53-56% and 62%+ turnout ranges for Russia's September 2026 State Duma election reflects historical precedents from the 2016 and 2021 votes, alongside stable polling showing United Russia support between 35-52% and abstention intentions of 7-13%. Expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing economic pressures and war fatigue sustain moderate disengagement. Trader consensus in these closely matched outcomes underscores the balancing act between intensified administrative mobilization campaigns, which historically drive higher figures, and countervailing factors such as regional protests or mobilization concerns that could cap turnout near recent averages. Separation will likely hinge on pre-election economic measures or shifts in public sentiment within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$564Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The tight clustering of probabilities around the 53-56% and 62%+ turnout ranges for Russia's September 2026 State Duma election reflects historical precedents from the 2016 and 2021 votes, alongside stable polling showing United Russia support between 35-52% and abstention intentions of 7-13%. Expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing economic pressures and war fatigue sustain moderate disengagement. Trader consensus in these closely matched outcomes underscores the balancing act between intensified administrative mobilization campaigns, which historically drive higher figures, and countervailing factors such as regional protests or mobilization concerns that could cap turnout near recent averages. Separation will likely hinge on pre-election economic measures or shifts in public sentiment within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Khối lượng
$564Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities around the 53-56% and 62%+ turnout ranges for Russia's September 2026 State Duma election reflects historical precedents from the 2016 and 2021 votes, alongside stable polling showing United Russia support between 35-52% and abstention intentions of 7-13%. Expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet ongoing economic pressures and war fatigue sustain moderate disengagement. Trader consensus in these closely matched outcomes underscores the balancing act between intensified administrative mobilization campaigns, which historically drive higher figures, and countervailing factors such as regional protests or mobilization concerns that could cap turnout near recent averages. Separation will likely hinge on pre-election economic measures or shifts in public sentiment within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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