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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

50-53% 31%

53-56% 31.0%

59-62% 12.6%

62%+ 9.8%

Polymarket

$47,999 KL.

50-53% 31%

53-56% 31.0%

59-62% 12.6%

62%+ 9.8%

Polymarket

$47,999 KL.

<47%

$1,886 KL.

3%

47-50%

$5,567 KL.

9%

50-53%

$4,499 KL.

31%

53-56%

$3,041 KL.

31%

56-59%

$6,045 KL.

10%

59-62%

$4,759 KL.

13%

62%+

$22,212 KL.

10%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid wartime economic pressures, including fuel shortages and infrastructure disruptions from Ukrainian strikes, which prompted the Kremlin to lower its internal turnout benchmarks below the earlier 50% goal. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions—with over 1.5 million applications filed—have facilitated participation in line with mechanisms used in prior cycles, while state media has maintained limited campaign coverage. Polling shows stable but subdued voter engagement, with United Russia support in the mid-30s and Putin's trust ratings near 70%. These factors keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 50-56% turnout, close to the 2021 benchmark of roughly 52%, as mobilization efforts compete with public fatigue and low-visibility campaigning.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Khối lượng
$47,999
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid wartime economic pressures, including fuel shortages and infrastructure disruptions from Ukrainian strikes, which prompted the Kremlin to lower its internal turnout benchmarks below the earlier 50% goal. Multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions—with over 1.5 million applications filed—have facilitated participation in line with mechanisms used in prior cycles, while state media has maintained limited campaign coverage. Polling shows stable but subdued voter engagement, with United Russia support in the mid-30s and Putin's trust ratings near 70%. These factors keep trader consensus tightly clustered around 50-56% turnout, close to the 2021 benchmark of roughly 52%, as mobilization efforts compete with public fatigue and low-visibility campaigning.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Khối lượng
$47,999
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 7 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "50-53%" ở mức 31%, tiếp theo là "53-56%" ở mức 31%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 31¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 31% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" đã tạo $48K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 21, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout," duyệt 7 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" là "50-53%" ở mức 31%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 31% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "53-56%" ở mức 31%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.