Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ around 22-23 percent support heading into the October 5 election, placing it in a competitive but diminished position after nearly eight years in government. Leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, combined with voter fatigue and scrutiny over spending overruns in health IT projects and other files, has contributed to the shift, with the party trailing the PQ and facing challenges in vote efficiency across fragmented ridings. Close contests between the CAQ and PQ in multiple districts, alongside regional variations and the short campaign window, sustain uncertainty in seat outcomes. Additional leaders’ debates and any late shifts in francophone or suburban support could alter final distributions before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật30+ 39%
20-24 32%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$18,033 KL.
$18,033 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
<5
1%
5-9
2%
10-14
3%
15-19
10%
20-24
32%
25-29
29%
30+
39%
30+ 39%
20-24 32%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$18,033 KL.
$18,033 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$827 KL.
1%
5-9
$1,320 KL.
2%
10-14
$3,335 KL.
3%
15-19
$1,808 KL.
10%
20-24
$3,420 KL.
32%
25-29
$1,687 KL.
29%
30+
$5,635 KL.
39%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ around 22-23 percent support heading into the October 5 election, placing it in a competitive but diminished position after nearly eight years in government. Leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, combined with voter fatigue and scrutiny over spending overruns in health IT projects and other files, has contributed to the shift, with the party trailing the PQ and facing challenges in vote efficiency across fragmented ridings. Close contests between the CAQ and PQ in multiple districts, alongside regional variations and the short campaign window, sustain uncertainty in seat outcomes. Additional leaders’ debates and any late shifts in francophone or suburban support could alter final distributions before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,033Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ around 22-23 percent support heading into the October 5 election, placing it in a competitive but diminished position after nearly eight years in government. Leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, combined with voter fatigue and scrutiny over spending overruns in health IT projects and other files, has contributed to the shift, with the party trailing the PQ and facing challenges in vote efficiency across fragmented ridings. Close contests between the CAQ and PQ in multiple districts, alongside regional variations and the short campaign window, sustain uncertainty in seat outcomes. Additional leaders’ debates and any late shifts in francophone or suburban support could alter final distributions before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$18,033Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates project the CAQ around 22-23 percent support heading into the October 5 election, placing it in a competitive but diminished position after nearly eight years in government. Leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, combined with voter fatigue and scrutiny over spending overruns in health IT projects and other files, has contributed to the shift, with the party trailing the PQ and facing challenges in vote efficiency across fragmented ridings. Close contests between the CAQ and PQ in multiple districts, alongside regional variations and the short campaign window, sustain uncertainty in seat outcomes. Additional leaders’ debates and any late shifts in francophone or suburban support could alter final distributions before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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