The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$23,353 KL.
$23,353 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
5%
$23,353 KL.
$23,353 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,133 KL.
76%
Republican Party
$14,220 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,353Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,353Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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