**Recent Middle Seat polling from May 5-6 shows Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot 51%-39% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, defying the new Republican-drawn map that rates it Trump +9 based on 2024 results and prompted Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's commitment to run here amid redistricting shifts announced May 1.** This Democratic edge, alongside Wasserman Schultz's incumbency, fundraising strength, and the district's Broward County base, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 63.5% implied probability for the House election winner, with Republicans at 34.5% despite challenger Scott Singer's entry. Competitive Democratic primary featuring Jared Moskowitz and Oliver Larkin adds uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries, while no major general election polls have emerged since.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$18,060 KL.
$18,060 KL.
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
34%
$18,060 KL.
$18,060 KL.
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Recent Middle Seat polling from May 5-6 shows Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot 51%-39% in Florida's 25th Congressional District, defying the new Republican-drawn map that rates it Trump +9 based on 2024 results and prompted Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's commitment to run here amid redistricting shifts announced May 1.** This Democratic edge, alongside Wasserman Schultz's incumbency, fundraising strength, and the district's Broward County base, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 63.5% implied probability for the House election winner, with Republicans at 34.5% despite challenger Scott Singer's entry. Competitive Democratic primary featuring Jared Moskowitz and Oliver Larkin adds uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries, while no major general election polls have emerged since.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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