The PA-02 district, anchored in central and northeastern Philadelphia, features a deep Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising (over $5 million cash on hand), and an uncontested Democratic primary. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, an operating-room technician, advanced without opposition but entered the general election with minimal reported resources or campaign infrastructure. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing or late-cycle disruption affecting Boyle directly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$35,660 KL.
$35,660 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$35,660 KL.
$35,660 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$29,308 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The PA-02 district, anchored in central and northeastern Philadelphia, features a deep Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising (over $5 million cash on hand), and an uncontested Democratic primary. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, an operating-room technician, advanced without opposition but entered the general election with minimal reported resources or campaign infrastructure. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing or late-cycle disruption affecting Boyle directly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,660Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The PA-02 district, anchored in central and northeastern Philadelphia, features a deep Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising (over $5 million cash on hand), and an uncontested Democratic primary. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, an operating-room technician, advanced without opposition but entered the general election with minimal reported resources or campaign infrastructure. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing or late-cycle disruption affecting Boyle directly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,660Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The PA-02 district, anchored in central and northeastern Philadelphia, features a deep Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking a seventh term as ranking member of the House Budget Committee, benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising (over $5 million cash on hand), and an uncontested Democratic primary. Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga, an operating-room technician, advanced without opposition but entered the general election with minimal reported resources or campaign infrastructure. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing or late-cycle disruption affecting Boyle directly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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