The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$17,404 KL.
$17,404 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,404 KL.
$17,404 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,121 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$9,283 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,404Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,404Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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