The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate rather than seek re-election, has shaped trader views on the open-seat general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Dan Koh, are competing ahead of the September 1 primary, while the Republican side features a single presumptive nominee facing structural disadvantages in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. Current pricing reflects this partisan baseline and limited competitive signals to date. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national shift favoring Republicans, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and district composition limit the scope of such changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-06 House Election Winner
$27,057 KL.
$27,057 KL.
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$27,057 KL.
$27,057 KL.
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate rather than seek re-election, has shaped trader views on the open-seat general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including frontrunner Dan Koh, are competing ahead of the September 1 primary, while the Republican side features a single presumptive nominee facing structural disadvantages in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. Current pricing reflects this partisan baseline and limited competitive signals to date. A late primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national shift favoring Republicans, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and district composition limit the scope of such changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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