Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKS-02 House Election Winner
KS-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,679 KL.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,532 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,211Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,211Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican KS-02 district (R+10 partisan voting index per Cook Political Report), driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Recent FEC reports from mid-April highlight Schmidt's fundraising lead over potential challengers, including a GOP primary contender like Don Coover, while Democrats lack a prominent candidate to contest the seat. Schmidt's legislative momentum—including House passage of the Farm Bill on April 30 supporting Kansas agriculture and his bipartisan police background check bill advancing May 12—reinforces perceptions of electability in this eastern Kansas battleground encompassing Topeka. No public polls yet, but historical midterm incumbent re-election rates above 90% underscore the steep path for Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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