Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-09 House Election Winner
VA-09 House Election Winner
$42,244 KL.
$42,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$42,244 KL.
$42,244 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$33,025 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$9,219 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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