Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-09 House Election Winner
VA-09 House Election Winner
$62,350 KL.
$62,350 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$62,350 KL.
$62,350 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$44,712 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$17,638 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$62,350Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$62,350Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Morgan Griffith faces Democratic nominee Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points. Griffith’s long tenure and the district’s rural, conservative electorate in southwest Virginia have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.8% Republican reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors have rarely overcome the district’s baseline electoral math.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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