Incumbent Rep. Suzan DelBene's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.3 million cash on hand—and WA-01's D+15 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89.5% to win the November 3 general election. The May 8 filing deadline revealed a crowded Democratic primary field including challengers Hunter Gordon, Catherine Hildebrand, Benjamin Kincaid, and Bryce Nickel, but only one Republican, Mary Silva, with no reported funds, signaling weak GOP recruitment in this Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report. DelBene's 63% 2024 general margin and recent DCCC chair reappointment bolster her incumbency edge. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats absent an upset, with national midterm waves rarely flipping such safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$14,679 KL.
$14,679 KL.
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
6%
$14,679 KL.
$14,679 KL.
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Suzan DelBene's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.3 million cash on hand—and WA-01's D+15 partisan voting index underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at 89.5% to win the November 3 general election. The May 8 filing deadline revealed a crowded Democratic primary field including challengers Hunter Gordon, Catherine Hildebrand, Benjamin Kincaid, and Bryce Nickel, but only one Republican, Mary Silva, with no reported funds, signaling weak GOP recruitment in this Solid Democratic district per Cook Political Report. DelBene's 63% 2024 general margin and recent DCCC chair reappointment bolster her incumbency edge. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats absent an upset, with national midterm waves rarely flipping such safe seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp