The dominant Democratic position in the WA-07 House race stems from the district's deep structural advantages, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent historical margins exceeding 80 percent for the incumbent. Pramila Jayapal secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and filed for the 2026 cycle during Washington's May candidate filing period, facing limited primary opposition from other Democrats and a Republican challenger in the August 4 top-two primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic with no credible path for Republicans in the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's Seattle-centered voter base and absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that could alter turnout dynamics. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected primary surge by a non-incumbent would represent the primary realistic scenarios capable of moving probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,256 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$1,753 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The dominant Democratic position in the WA-07 House race stems from the district's deep structural advantages, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent historical margins exceeding 80 percent for the incumbent. Pramila Jayapal secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and filed for the 2026 cycle during Washington's May candidate filing period, facing limited primary opposition from other Democrats and a Republican challenger in the August 4 top-two primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic with no credible path for Republicans in the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's Seattle-centered voter base and absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that could alter turnout dynamics. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected primary surge by a non-incumbent would represent the primary realistic scenarios capable of moving probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The dominant Democratic position in the WA-07 House race stems from the district's deep structural advantages, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent historical margins exceeding 80 percent for the incumbent. Pramila Jayapal secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and filed for the 2026 cycle during Washington's May candidate filing period, facing limited primary opposition from other Democrats and a Republican challenger in the August 4 top-two primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic with no credible path for Republicans in the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's Seattle-centered voter base and absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that could alter turnout dynamics. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected primary surge by a non-incumbent would represent the primary realistic scenarios capable of moving probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant Democratic position in the WA-07 House race stems from the district's deep structural advantages, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent historical margins exceeding 80 percent for the incumbent. Pramila Jayapal secured reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and filed for the 2026 cycle during Washington's May candidate filing period, facing limited primary opposition from other Democrats and a Republican challenger in the August 4 top-two primary. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic with no credible path for Republicans in the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's Seattle-centered voter base and absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that could alter turnout dynamics. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected primary surge by a non-incumbent would represent the primary realistic scenarios capable of moving probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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