Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$34,838 KL.
$34,838 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$34,838 KL.
$34,838 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,694 KL.
91%
Republican Party
$2,144 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,838Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,838Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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