**Incumbent Republican Rep. Tracey Mann's stronghold in the R+16 Kansas 1st Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner**, bolstered by his unopposed August 4 primary, overwhelming 69% general election margin in 2024, and fundraising dominance with $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold's modest totals under $20,000 combined. Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the sprawling rural district's conservative tilt, historically yielding 30-point GOP advantages amid absent polls or challengers signaling competitiveness. Odds could shift via unforeseen GOP primary entrant post-June 1 filing, Mann scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural barriers render these low-probability ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,943 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$1,526 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Rep. Tracey Mann's stronghold in the R+16 Kansas 1st Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner**, bolstered by his unopposed August 4 primary, overwhelming 69% general election margin in 2024, and fundraising dominance with $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold's modest totals under $20,000 combined. Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the sprawling rural district's conservative tilt, historically yielding 30-point GOP advantages amid absent polls or challengers signaling competitiveness. Odds could shift via unforeseen GOP primary entrant post-June 1 filing, Mann scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural barriers render these low-probability ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,468Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Rep. Tracey Mann's stronghold in the R+16 Kansas 1st Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner**, bolstered by his unopposed August 4 primary, overwhelming 69% general election margin in 2024, and fundraising dominance with $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold's modest totals under $20,000 combined. Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the sprawling rural district's conservative tilt, historically yielding 30-point GOP advantages amid absent polls or challengers signaling competitiveness. Odds could shift via unforeseen GOP primary entrant post-June 1 filing, Mann scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural barriers render these low-probability ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,468Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Rep. Tracey Mann's stronghold in the R+16 Kansas 1st Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner**, bolstered by his unopposed August 4 primary, overwhelming 69% general election margin in 2024, and fundraising dominance with $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding Democratic primary rivals Colin McRoberts and Lauren Reinhold's modest totals under $20,000 combined. Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the sprawling rural district's conservative tilt, historically yielding 30-point GOP advantages amid absent polls or challengers signaling competitiveness. Odds could shift via unforeseen GOP primary entrant post-June 1 filing, Mann scandal, health issue, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural barriers render these low-probability ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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