Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democrat Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s uncontested primary and substantial fundraising lead, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 92.5% Republican odds. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its consistent performance in recent cycles. Ellman’s primary victory and limited resources have not shifted the structural outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s partisan baseline and historical voting patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,538 KL.
$20,538 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,538 KL.
$20,538 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,918 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,620 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democrat Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s uncontested primary and substantial fundraising lead, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 92.5% Republican odds. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its consistent performance in recent cycles. Ellman’s primary victory and limited resources have not shifted the structural outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s partisan baseline and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,538Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democrat Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s uncontested primary and substantial fundraising lead, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 92.5% Republican odds. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its consistent performance in recent cycles. Ellman’s primary victory and limited resources have not shifted the structural outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s partisan baseline and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,538Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faces Democrat Alissa Ellman in New York’s 24th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Tenney’s uncontested primary and substantial fundraising lead, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 92.5% Republican odds. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its consistent performance in recent cycles. Ellman’s primary victory and limited resources have not shifted the structural outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s partisan baseline and historical voting patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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