Recent polls place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8–11 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus on the 8-9 and 10-11 brackets. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its floor after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition within the anti-Netanyahu bloc—particularly from Yashar and Together—limit upside. High-turnout July primaries and the July campaign launch reinforced internal cohesion without shifting national surveys materially. With roughly seven weeks remaining, undecided voters, security developments, and potential last-minute vote flows among center-left parties keep outcomes clustered; any sustained momentum for Eisenkot’s list or a major opposition realignment could push the Democrats toward the lower or higher end of current projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật10-11 50%
8-9 40%
14+ 37%
12-13 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<8
30%
8-9
40%
10-11
38%
12-13
33%
14+
37%
10-11 50%
8-9 40%
14+ 37%
12-13 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$0 KL.
30%
8-9
$0 KL.
40%
10-11
$10 KL.
38%
12-13
$0 KL.
33%
14+
$0 KL.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8–11 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus on the 8-9 and 10-11 brackets. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its floor after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition within the anti-Netanyahu bloc—particularly from Yashar and Together—limit upside. High-turnout July primaries and the July campaign launch reinforced internal cohesion without shifting national surveys materially. With roughly seven weeks remaining, undecided voters, security developments, and potential last-minute vote flows among center-left parties keep outcomes clustered; any sustained momentum for Eisenkot’s list or a major opposition realignment could push the Democrats toward the lower or higher end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8–11 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus on the 8-9 and 10-11 brackets. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its floor after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition within the anti-Netanyahu bloc—particularly from Yashar and Together—limit upside. High-turnout July primaries and the July campaign launch reinforced internal cohesion without shifting national surveys materially. With roughly seven weeks remaining, undecided voters, security developments, and potential last-minute vote flows among center-left parties keep outcomes clustered; any sustained momentum for Eisenkot’s list or a major opposition realignment could push the Democrats toward the lower or higher end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8–11 seat range for the October 27 Knesset election, aligning with trader consensus on the 8-9 and 10-11 brackets. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its floor after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition within the anti-Netanyahu bloc—particularly from Yashar and Together—limit upside. High-turnout July primaries and the July campaign launch reinforced internal cohesion without shifting national surveys materially. With roughly seven weeks remaining, undecided voters, security developments, and potential last-minute vote flows among center-left parties keep outcomes clustered; any sustained momentum for Eisenkot’s list or a major opposition realignment could push the Democrats toward the lower or higher end of current projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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