Recent polling averages place Shas near eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the market's lead for the 8-9 outcome. The Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, led by Aryeh Deri, draws support primarily from Mizrahi Haredi voters whose turnout and bloc alignment with Likud and other religious parties determine its final tally. Recent surveys show modest variation between seven and ten seats, reflecting stable but not dominant positioning within Netanyahu's coalition partners. Key variables include mobilization efforts in traditional strongholds, any spillover from leadership discussions involving figures like Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, and competition from United Torah Judaism or smaller lists. With the overall right-religious bloc hovering below a majority in most aggregates, Shas results hinge on whether these voters consolidate or fragment in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8-9 44%
10-11 26%
6-7 19%
12+ 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
5%
6-7
19%
8-9
36%
10-11
20%
12+
9%
8-9 44%
10-11 26%
6-7 19%
12+ 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$485 KL.
5%
6-7
$1,392 KL.
19%
8-9
$939 KL.
36%
10-11
$740 KL.
20%
12+
$1,573 KL.
9%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas near eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the market's lead for the 8-9 outcome. The Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, led by Aryeh Deri, draws support primarily from Mizrahi Haredi voters whose turnout and bloc alignment with Likud and other religious parties determine its final tally. Recent surveys show modest variation between seven and ten seats, reflecting stable but not dominant positioning within Netanyahu's coalition partners. Key variables include mobilization efforts in traditional strongholds, any spillover from leadership discussions involving figures like Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, and competition from United Torah Judaism or smaller lists. With the overall right-religious bloc hovering below a majority in most aggregates, Shas results hinge on whether these voters consolidate or fragment in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,130Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas near eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the market's lead for the 8-9 outcome. The Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, led by Aryeh Deri, draws support primarily from Mizrahi Haredi voters whose turnout and bloc alignment with Likud and other religious parties determine its final tally. Recent surveys show modest variation between seven and ten seats, reflecting stable but not dominant positioning within Netanyahu's coalition partners. Key variables include mobilization efforts in traditional strongholds, any spillover from leadership discussions involving figures like Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, and competition from United Torah Judaism or smaller lists. With the overall right-religious bloc hovering below a majority in most aggregates, Shas results hinge on whether these voters consolidate or fragment in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$5,130Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Shas near eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, supporting the market's lead for the 8-9 outcome. The Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party, led by Aryeh Deri, draws support primarily from Mizrahi Haredi voters whose turnout and bloc alignment with Likud and other religious parties determine its final tally. Recent surveys show modest variation between seven and ten seats, reflecting stable but not dominant positioning within Netanyahu's coalition partners. Key variables include mobilization efforts in traditional strongholds, any spillover from leadership discussions involving figures like Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, and competition from United Torah Judaism or smaller lists. With the overall right-religious bloc hovering below a majority in most aggregates, Shas results hinge on whether these voters consolidate or fragment in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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