Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–9 seat range, with individual surveys from mid-September showing results clustered between 6 and 8 seats depending on the house. The party’s position reflects steady but limited support within the broader right-wing bloc amid competition from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Shas for overlapping voters, alongside the 3.25% electoral threshold that concentrates smaller-party volatility. Key recent factors include disqualification petitions filed against the list by opponents citing incitement concerns, internal coalition friction with Likud over portfolio allocations that led to suspended talks, and targeted slate moves such as reserving a Chareidi slot to broaden appeal. These elements, combined with bloc-level polling that keeps the Netanyahu-aligned parties near or below 61 seats, sustain trader uncertainty between the 6–7 and 8–9 brackets. Separation could emerge from final disqualification rulings by the Central Elections Committee, shifts in right-wing turnout driven by security developments, or late adjustments to surplus-vote agreements that alter effective seat distribution. The October 27 election date leaves limited time for such catalysts to register in final surveys.